College Football Week 7 Prediction: Red River Shootout

In this week’s edition, College FootBlog will break down the match up of one of the most intense rivalries in all of college football–the Red River Shootout between Oklahoma and Texas.  Oklahoma’s quest for a national title was extinguished in their week 5 loss at Miami, but a Big 12 Title and a BCS Bowl game are still a possibility if they can avenge last year’s loss to the Longhorns this weekend.

For Texas, a win this weekend could bump them back to number 2 in the polls, after losing that ranking to Alabama after the Crimson Tide dominated Ole Miss last weekend.  A strong performance from Colt McCoy could also go a long way for his hopes of a Heisman Trophy and put the ‘Horns in a strong position for a run at a national championship.  Needless to say, there is a lot riding on this weekend’s match up.

College FootBlog will analyze each team’s strengths and key concerns this weekend and will make a prediction for of the winner and final score.

A win this weekend over OU could put McCoy and the 'Horns in the driver's seat for a national title (google images)

A win this weekend over OU could put McCoy and the 'Horns in the driver's seat for a national title (google images)

Texas

Strengths:  Heisman hopeful, Colt McCoy leads a Texas offense that averages 311 yard a game passing and 175 yards a game rushing.  The four-year starter’s interceptions are up from his past years and his rushing yards are not where they were last year, but they have put up a whopping 34 touchdowns in their five games this season.

If the ‘Horns are going to win this weekend, McCoy is going to have to play a solid game and distribute the ball to Jordan Shipley and company.

Key Concerns:  The Texas defense has been solid all season, but against pass-happy Texas Tech, they gave up 420 yards passing and three touchdowns.  It should also be noted that the ‘Horns held the Red Raiders to four total yards rushing in that contest. 

OU will present the only other solid passing attack that the Longhorns have faced so far this season.  The secondary will have to step up to keep the Sooners’ passing attack in check.

Oklahoma

DT Gerald McCoy leads a potent OU defensive front four (google images)

DT Gerald McCoy leads a potent OU defensive front four (google images)

Strengths: 

OU’s defense has been outstanding all season.  The Sooners have NFL talent at each level, starting with DT Gerald McCoy, who many project as a first rounder in next spring’s NFL Draft. 

Senior linebacker Ryan Reynolds  and fellow senior Keenan Clayton adds leadership in the middle and OU’s two senior cornerbacks, Dominique Franks and Brian Jackson are about as good as you can get in the country at that position.

Key Concerns:  While Heisman Trophy winner Sam Bradford is back and had a very solid outing last weekend against Baylor, he will see a much different defense this weekend. 

Bradford is as accurate of a quarterback as there is in all of college football, but he has not seen the speed and athleticism this year like he will see on Saturday. 

His throws last weekend looked great, but make no mistake about it–Bradford will get hit this weekend.  How he responds to that will determine how well the Sooners move the football.

Texas Offense vs. Oklahoma Defense

OU’s defense will be by far the best defense that Colt McCoy has had to go against this season.  It is probably the best defense he faces until a bowl game.  Despite the Sooners’ outstanding defense and their ability to create turnovers, the explosive Texas offense will make a few big plays.  Oklahoma will slow McCoy’s offense down, but the ‘Horns will not light things up like they have in their previous five games this season.  Slight EDGE:  Texas

Oklahoma Offense vs. Texas Defense

Bradford’s warm up last weekend against Baylor knocked off some rust and allowed the OU offense a week to get in rhythm with their start QB.  His poise and accuracy will be challenged by the swarming Texas defense.  Look for Texas Defensive Coordinator Will Muschamp to mix in some new blitz packages designed to put some shots on Bradford.  Knocking Bradford down could do the trick, but it could also prove costly if the OU quarterback can take advantage of 1 on 1 coverage on the outside.  As with Texas’ offense vs. OU, the Longhorns should be able to slow OU’s offense down, but Bradford is too good to be shut down.  Slight EDGE:  Oklahoma

Special Teams

While Oklahoma has a couple of weapons in the return game in Dominique Franks and DeMarco Murray, Texas has the top kick returner in the country in DJ Monroe, who has brought back two kicks for touchdowns so far this season.  Senior Jordan Shipley had also added two touchdowns off punt returns.  The place kickers for each team have converted nine field goals on the season.  EDGE:  Texas

Prediction

As with the past match ups in this rivalry, this weekend’s game should be a great one and will likely take all four quarters to decide a winner.  In the end, Bradford’s injury could very well have an effect on the game’s outcome–not his ability to throw the ball, but his ability to withstand some hits could likely be a factor.  Also, in games like this, special teams often mean the difference, and the Longhorns have more firepower in that department.  Final Prediction:  Texas wins 31-28

 

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5 Responses to “College Football Week 7 Prediction: Red River Shootout”


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